Sports Polymarket June 22, 2026
Sungjae Im makes 2026 U.S. Open cut as Dustin Johnson misses
✗ The market missed this — resolved Sungjae Im.
2026 U.S. Open: To Make the Cut
Polymarket prices this Dustin Johnson at 100%.
Sungjae Im made the cut at the 2026 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills, while Dustin Johnson was eliminated after the first two rounds. Im posted a steady 70‑plus performance that kept him inside the top‑60 + ties threshold, whereas Johnson’s weekend‑round scores slipped just enough to leave him outside the cut line. Coverage highlighted Johnson’s early exit and Im’s advancement as the key storyline on the cut‑line tracker. The crowd had priced Johnson as a strong favorite (100%), but the result proved otherwise.
Market lensThe market overwhelmingly backed Johnson (100%) and only a sharp +26.5 pts shift in the last 24 hours hinted at emerging concern, yet the crowd ultimately missed the result.
Background
The 126th U.S. Open returned to Shinnecock Hills with the USGA boosting the purse by $1 million, raising the stakes for both veterans and rising stars. Dustin Johnson entered the tournament as a multiple‑major champion and was widely expected to make the weekend, while South Korean prodigy Sungjae Im, already known for strong major showings, was fighting for a rare amateur‑to‑pro breakthrough. Over the weeks leading up to the event, market odds climbed in Johnson's favor, reflecting his reputation, even as analysts noted the increasingly tough course setup for round three.
The precedent
- The U.S. Open cut is set at the top 60 players plus ties after 36 holes
Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.
What the coverage agrees on
- Sungjae Im qualified for the weekend rounds of the 2026 U.S. Open
- Dustin Johnson failed to make the cut
How outlets frame it
- USA Today: Focused on the cut‑line tracker, listing every golfer who was sent home, including Johnson's early exit
- Yahoo Sports: Highlighted notable players who missed the cut, emphasizing Johnson’s surprising elimination
- Golf Monthly: Questioned whether amateurs like Im would earn prize money after making the cut
- Golfweek: Explored how many amateurs succeeded in reaching the cut at this year’s Open
What to watch
Im will compete in the final two rounds with a chance at a six‑figure payday and valuable world‑ranking points, while Johnson will miss the weekend purse and may reassess his schedule ahead of the PGA Tour season. The cut outcome also reshapes the amateur‑to‑professional narrative at this year’s Open.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this Dustin Johnson at 100%.
24h +26.5 pts
$150K traded · $139K in the last day · $36.6K resting liquidity · $651 open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player makes the cut for the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to make the cut for the main tournament at the 2026 US Open
Pricing Polymarket 100%
Sources
- Do Amateurs Earn Prize Money At The US Open In 2026? golfmonthly.com
- US Open cut line tracker: Who was sent home from Shinnecock Hills? usatoday.com
- U.S. Open payout distribution 2026: Prize money and purse at Shinnecock Hills fansided.com
- 2026 U.S. Open Payouts: How Much Each Golfer Will Earn at Shinnecock, From First to Last Place si.com
- Miles Russell, 17, is 2nd-youngest man to make U.S. Open cut since World War II nbcsports.com
- Who missed the cut at 2026 US Open? Notable golfers heading home early sports.yahoo.com
- USGA warns U.S. Open pros about tougher setup on Saturday at Shinnecock Hills golf.com
- How many amateurs made the cut at the 2026 U.S. Open? golfweek.usatoday.com
Frequently asked questions
2026 U.S. Open: To Make the Cut
Polymarket prices this Dustin Johnson at 100%.
What do the sources agree on?
Sungjae Im qualified for the weekend rounds of the 2026 U.S. Open Dustin Johnson failed to make the cut
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player makes the cut for the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to make the cut for the main tournament at the 2026 US Open
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.