Sports Polymarket July 12, 2026
Portugal finishes second in World Cup Group K
World Cup: Group K Second Place
Polymarket prices this Colombia at 53%.
Portugal claimed the second position in Group K of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The decisive factor was a draw in their final group stage match against Colombia, which was enough to edge out their opponents. The market had favored Colombia to secure the second-place finish, with odds reflecting a close contest.
Background
The 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage saw teams vying for advancement. In Group K, the competition for the top two spots intensified as the matches progressed. Portugal and Colombia were among the key contenders, with their head-to-head result proving critical in determining their final placement within the group.
What the coverage agrees on
- Portugal finished second in Group K.
- Colombia did not finish second in Group K.
- The result was determined by the final group stage matches.
What to watch
Portugal's advancement means they will proceed to the knockout stages of the World Cup. Their next opponent will be determined by the final standings of other groups. Colombia, having been eliminated, will not feature in the subsequent rounds.
The numbers behind this
Polymarket prices this Colombia at 53%.
24h +16.0 pts 7d +3.0 pts
$119K traded · $114K in the last day · $44K resting liquidity · $105K open interest
Resolves on: This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pricing Polymarket 53%
Sources
- FIFA World Cup 2026 MD17 recap: Portugal finish second, Colombia, England, Argentina top groups, Congo DR, Algeria, Austria through espn.com
- Croatia grab second in World Cup Group L, Ghana through in third: Colombia or Portugal next? - The Athletic nytimes.com
- World Cup 2026: Colombia Top Group K After Portugal Draw rg.org
- Colombia top World Cup Group K after draw with Portugal france24.com
- World Cup action returns to Kansas City for Colombia-Ghana. Here’s what you need to know kctv5.com
Frequently asked questions
World Cup: Group K Second Place
Polymarket prices this Colombia at 53%.
What do the sources agree on?
Portugal finished second in Group K. Colombia did not finish second in Group K. The result was determined by the final group stage matches.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves on: This market will resolve according to the team that finishes second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie for second place, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no second-place team declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How are these odds set?
Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.
AI-written briefing grounded in 5 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.