Crowdtells

Sports Polymarket June 18, 2026 Edited by Samuel Jo Crowd ahead of press

Cubs' Jacob Misiorowski emerges as NL Cy Young frontrunner

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

Polymarket prices this Jacob Misiorowski at 54%. The market is more confident than the current reporting.

The National League Cy Young Award, honoring the league’s top pitcher, will be awarded after the regular season concludes on October 1, 2026. Misiorowski’s 2.85 ERA, 12 wins and 150 strikeouts in 24 starts have thrust him into the conversation, and traders have lifted 54% on him this week, reflecting his recent surge even as analysts note veteran arms still dominate the narrative.

Market lensThe market has pushed 54% on Misiorowski despite most outlets still viewing him as an outsider.

Background

Jacob Misiorowski, a right‑hander who debuted for the Chicago Cubs in June, has posted a 2.85 ERA and 12 wins through 24 starts, propelling him into early award talk. The Cy Young race traditionally favors established starters, but Misiorowski’s rapid ascent mirrors rare rookie breakthroughs. The award will be decided by the Baseball Writers' Association of America after the postseason, with voting closing on October 5.

The precedent

Context compiled by Crowdtells from the public record — verify before relying on it.

What the coverage agrees on

  • Jacob Misiorowski is an early favorite for the NL Cy Young
  • The award will be decided after the regular season ends in early October
  • Voting is conducted by the Baseball Writers' Association of America

How outlets frame it

  • MLB.com: Emphasizes watching the Cubs’ final series as a decisive moment for Misiorowski’s candidacy
  • ESPN: Frames the race within a broader awards tracker, highlighting veteran pitchers as the primary contenders

What to watch

Cubs’ final series against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sept 28‑30 will be the last chance for Misiorowski to solidify his case before voting begins, making his performance in those games a key indicator of his award prospects.

The numbers behind this

Polymarket prices this Jacob Misiorowski at 54%.

24h +7.8 pts 7d +26.0 pts

$422K traded · $308K in the last day · $50.6K resting liquidity · $14K open interest

Resolves on: This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabet

Pricing Polymarket 54%

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Sources

Frequently asked questions

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

Polymarket prices this Jacob Misiorowski at 54%. The market is more confident than the current reporting.

What do the sources agree on?

Jacob Misiorowski is an early favorite for the NL Cy Young The award will be decided after the regular season ends in early October Voting is conducted by the Baseball Writers' Association of America

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves on: This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabet

How are these odds set?

Prediction-market odds are prices set by people trading real money on the outcome, so the price reads as the crowd’s implied probability — not a guarantee or financial advice.

AI-written briefing grounded in 8 sources and the live market, edited by Samuel Jo. Odds are crowd probabilities, not advice — how this works.

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